1) In yesterday’s e-mail, I wrote about how I use my “spidey sense” to identify bubbles that are about to burst.But I want to emphasize that I start with the fundamentals, so let’s take a look at them… Mark Spiegel of hedge fund Stanphyl Capital believes that there’s a bubble in growth/tech stocks. Each form of irrational exuberance is different; we are just looking for what you might call spiritual similarities. The bubble pattern is interesting because it changes the argument from a fundamental view to a technical viewpoint. The 2010s were much kinder to stocks, and even though 2020 has been a crazy and volatile year so far, the S&P 500 has rallied since its March dip and hit all-time highs . "I would be saying to people that this is a bubble-type territory, but it doesn't mean that it is going to deflate now. Question Keeps Popping Up: Are We in Another Bubble? Even now, I know that this market can soar upwards for a few more weeks or even months – it feels like we could be anywhere between July 1999 and February 2000. Take this 25-question quiz, based on a similar one published in Murray’s 2012 book, “Coming Apart: The State of White America 1960-2010,” to find out just how thick your bubble is. Certainly not investment bubbles. Amid talk of a market bubble, Kristina Hooper discusses asset price cycles and what they mean for investors. When valuations rise this quickly, it’s usually a sign that the stock market is in a so-called bubble. ET Prices reflect the market’s psychology, which can create a feedback loop between the markets and fundamentals. As stocks hit record highs, Wall Street banks are getting more and more inquiries about whether the boom, which has some parallels to the dot-com era, will result in a similar bust. We see the asymmetric bubble pattern at … Key Words Man who called 2008 stock-market top says we are in ‘real humdinger’ of a bubble Last Updated: Jan. 9, 2021 at 1:26 p.m. “And here we … By Michael Braga NEW YORK – In the midst of a raging COVID-19 pandemic, with millions of Americans still out of work and facing the possibility of eviction and foreclosure, the United States is experiencing a real estate boom the likes of which it hasn’t seen in 15 years. As a reminder, the S&P 500 declined 24% over the first decade of the 2000s due to the 2008 financial crisis and dot-com bubble. And bubbles inevitably pop, destroying shareholder value at a blistering pace. ET First Published: Jan. 5, 2021 at 4:32 p.m. Grantham reminded his readers that the Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ: .IXIC) fell 82% when the tech bubble popped 20 years ago.
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